Vibes, the Economy and the Election. Recent positive news may put two theories on economic disenchantment to the test. Share full article. 114. By Nate Cohn. Dec. 14, 2023. Image.

Its presidential election model factors in a range of economic indicators. "The winner is Joe Biden. The [former] vice president beats Donald Trump, but it's not a slam dunk," he said.

New CBS News poll highlights stark divide between Harris, Trump voters 04:06. With less than three weeks until the U.S. presidential election, millions of Americans say the economy is a top issue ...

WASHINGTON ― The recession that many economists predicted hasn't happened. Consumer confidence is surging. The stock market has soared to all-time highs. And on Friday came a robust jobs report ...

The interplay between robust growth and high prices might be a major reason why polls show the election as a tossup. This is also on view in a long-running presidential prediction model that Yale ...

The economy is the most cited issue, as it was in many prior election cycles. But it’s very unlikely that 30 percent of voters are actually choosing candidates based on economic conditions alone.

As with the tomatoes, the math usually pencils out. These indicators can run up substantial streaks. But in almost every case, folks weren’t sitting around waiting for Ike’s election results ...

The economy is hugely important to presidential elections, but there are no magic bullets. Perhaps the best starting point is to see how the most commonly-used economic variable — G.D.P ...

In general, values of the index below 2.0 point to cases where the incumbent president will actually have become the underdog. The economy was quite terrible by the point in 2008 and getting worse ...

The U.S. economy is off to a disappointing start in 2016. Now the Trump v. Clinton election is making businesses even less eager to spend.

This year’s election is shaping up to be particularly ugly for the business world, with two presidential candidates who could not be further apart in their approaches to taxes and regulation.