A system expected to move cross Florida into the Gulf has a low chance for tropical development this week. Regardless of development, heavy rain is forecast across most of Florida during the week. The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter.

A disorganized low-pressure area off Florida is showing increasing chances of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm this week.

The National Hurricane Center thinks a tropical depression could form in the Gulf in a few days. Forecasters continued to track an area of low pressure that was in the western Atlantic Ocean just east of the Florida peninsula on Tuesday. It is expected to move westward, across the Sunshine State, and into the Gulf by Wednesday.

With an area of low-pressure expected to bring heavy rains to FL on Tuesday, much of the Tampa Bay area is under a flood watch

The area of low pressure we’ve been tracking near Florida has shown signs of organizing the last couple of days.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected over portions of Florida, which could bring localized flash flooding through mid-week.

Unlike Monday, which was a deluge for South Florida, today’s tropical-system-related rain is expected to be more concentrated in the center of the state. The Miami office of the National Weather Service predicts South Florida could see around 1 inch of rain on Tuesday and Wednesday, not enough for any severe flooding.

A trough of low pressure located offshore the Atlantic Coast of northern Florida could bring heavy rains to the Gulf Coast region and Southeast Louisiana later this week as it moves westward, according to the National Hurricane Center.

At least 2-3 inches of rainfall is possible over Florida's Gulf Coast region and the inland areas through Thursday.